Saturday 12 August 2017, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
51%
27%
22%
Home win
51.0%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
22.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Swansea | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.1% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.5% | 8.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Southampton / Swansea | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
6.8
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
12.7
|
5.8
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
9.5
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
5.0
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.