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Saturday 13 May 2017, 17:00 Stadium of Light Full time
0–2
HT 0–2
38% 28% 34%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
34.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 37.7% 2.65
Draw 28.3% 3.53
Swansea 34.0% 2.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.46
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.66
Over 2.5 46.4% 2.16
Under 2.5 53.6% 1.87
Over 3.5 24.9% 4.02
Under 3.5 75.1% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.3% 8.85
Under 4.5 88.7% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.3% 1.91
No 47.7% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 66.0% 1.51
Sunderland / Swansea 71.7% 1.39
Draw / Swansea 62.3% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
9.0
6.0
2.4
0.8
0.2
1
9.6
13.5
7.8
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.8
8.3
5.1
2.1
0.6
0.2
3
2.9
3.6
2.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.