Sunday 30 April 2017, 14:00
Old Trafford
Full time
76%
17%
7%
Home win
76.0%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
7.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.9% | 5.91 | — | — |
| Swansea | 7.1% | 14.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Swansea | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
7.9
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.0
|
8.5
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.5
|
6.5
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.6
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2018
Manchester United
2-0
Swansea
Aug 2017
Swansea
0-4
Manchester United
Nov 2016
Swansea
1-3
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.