Sunday 16 April 2017, 18:00
Old Trafford
Full time
34%
32%
34%
Home win
34.2%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
34.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.2% | 6.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.2% | 16.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Chelsea | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
12.0
|
6.8
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
14.3
|
7.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
7.1
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Chelsea
0-1
Manchester United
Sep 2025
Manchester United
2-1
Chelsea
May 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Manchester United
Nov 2024
Manchester United
1-1
Chelsea
Apr 2024
Chelsea
4-3
Manchester United
Dec 2023
Manchester United
2-1
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.