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Saturday 1 April 2017, 17:00 Old Trafford Full time
55% 27% 17%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
17.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 55.3% 1.81
Draw 27.2% 3.68
West Brom 17.5% 5.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.14
Over 1.5 67.1% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.9% 3.04
Over 2.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.6% 5.09
Under 3.5 80.4% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.31
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.9% 2.38
No 58.1% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 82.5% 1.21
Manchester United / West Brom 72.8% 1.37
Draw / West Brom 44.7% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
6.9
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
15.0
12.4
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
9.0
3.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
6.1
4.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.