Saturday 18 March 2017, 14:30
The Hawthorns
Full time
31%
26%
43%
Home win
31.2%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
42.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.3% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.2% | 6.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| West Brom / Arsenal | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
8.2
|
6.9
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.7
|
12.3
|
9.0
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
7.6
|
5.9
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
3.3
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Arsenal
3-1
West Brom
Jan 2021
West Brom
0-4
Arsenal
Dec 2017
West Brom
1-1
Arsenal
Sep 2017
Arsenal
2-0
West Brom
Dec 2016
Arsenal
1-0
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.