Saturday 4 February 2017, 14:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
58%
23%
18%
Home win
58.5%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
18.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.2% | 6.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Arsenal | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
4.9
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
11.1
|
5.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
9.9
|
4.8
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Arsenal
2-1
Chelsea
Nov 2025
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
Mar 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Chelsea
Nov 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
Apr 2024
Arsenal
5-0
Chelsea
Oct 2023
Chelsea
2-2
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.