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Wednesday 4 January 2017, 22:00 White Hart Lane Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
39% 30% 31%
Home win
38.9%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
31.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 38.9% 2.57
Draw 29.9% 3.35
Chelsea 31.2% 3.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.19
Over 1.5 67.6% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.4% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.02
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.05
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.2% 2.12
No 52.8% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 68.8% 1.45
Tottenham / Chelsea 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Chelsea 61.1% 1.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
10.0
5.8
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
11.6
14.0
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.6
8.1
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.1
3.3
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Chelsea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.