Skip to content
Sunday 11 December 2016, 16:15 Old Trafford Full time
29% 32% 38%
Home win
29.4%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
38.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 29.4% 3.40
Draw 32.2% 3.10
Tottenham 38.4% 2.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.2% 7.02
Over 1.5 60.4% 1.66
Under 1.5 39.6% 2.53
Over 2.5 32.5% 3.07
Under 2.5 67.5% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.4% 6.94
Under 3.5 85.6% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.3% 18.76
Under 4.5 94.7% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.7% 2.46
No 59.3% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 61.6% 1.62
Manchester United / Tottenham 67.8% 1.48
Draw / Tottenham 70.6% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.2
13.8
8.0
2.9
0.8
0.2
1
11.5
14.2
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
5.7
6.2
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
1.7
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.