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Saturday 26 November 2016, 19:30 Stamford Bridge Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
50% 29% 21%
Home win
49.9%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
21.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea 49.9% 2.00
Draw 28.8% 3.47
Tottenham 21.2% 4.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.69
Over 1.5 66.0% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.0% 2.94
Over 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.6% 5.36
Under 3.5 81.4% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.20
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.1% 2.32
No 56.9% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea / Draw 78.8% 1.27
Chelsea / Tottenham 71.2% 1.40
Draw / Tottenham 50.1% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
8.1
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
14.4
13.2
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.6
8.8
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.0
4.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Chelsea goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.