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Sunday 20 November 2016, 18:00 Riverside Full time
19% 27% 53%
Home win
19.1%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
53.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 19.1% 5.25
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Chelsea 53.5% 1.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.39
Over 1.5 67.9% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.1% 3.11
Over 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Under 2.5 59.3% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.3% 4.94
Under 3.5 79.7% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.78
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.6% 2.30
No 56.4% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 46.5% 2.15
Middlesbrough / Chelsea 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Chelsea 81.0% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
14.3
11.4
5.7
2.2
0.7
1
7.2
12.7
9.1
4.6
1.7
0.5
2
3.2
4.8
3.6
1.8
0.7
0.2
3
0.8
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Chelsea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.