Saturday 5 November 2016, 17:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
67%
21%
12%
Home win
66.6%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
12.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Middlesbrough | 12.4% | 8.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 6.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Middlesbrough | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Middlesbrough | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
10.0
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.6
|
3.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
6.6
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.