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Sunday 2 October 2016, 16:15 White Hart Lane Full time
Tottenham
2–0
HT 2–0
Manchester City
41% 29% 30%
Home win
40.7%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
29.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 40.7% 2.46 — —
Draw 29.4% 3.40 — —
Manchester City 29.9% 3.35 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12 — —
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.60 — —
Over 1.5 68.6% 1.46 — —
Under 1.5 31.4% 3.19 — —
Over 2.5 41.5% 2.41 — —
Under 2.5 58.5% 1.71 — —
Over 3.5 20.9% 4.79 — —
Under 3.5 79.1% 1.26 — —
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.30 — —
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.0% 2.09 — —
No 52.0% 1.92 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 70.1% 1.43 — —
Tottenham / Manchester City 70.6% 1.42 — —
Draw / Manchester City 59.3% 1.69 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
9.4
5.4
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
11.6
13.9
6.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
7.9
8.4
4.4
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
3.4
3.6
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Tottenham
W D W W W
Manchester City
W W W W W

Head to head

Feb 2026 Tottenham 2-2 Manchester City Aug 2025 Manchester City 0-2 Tottenham Feb 2025 Tottenham 0-1 Manchester City Nov 2024 Manchester City 0-4 Tottenham May 2024 Tottenham 0-2 Manchester City Dec 2023 Manchester City 3-3 Tottenham

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.