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Saturday 29 October 2016, 17:00 Riverside Full time
33% 31% 35%
Home win
33.2%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
35.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 33.2% 3.01
Draw 31.4% 3.19
Bournemouth 35.4% 2.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.81
Over 1.5 63.4% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.6% 2.73
Over 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.5% 6.05
Under 3.5 83.5% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.58
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 64.6% 1.55
Middlesbrough / Bournemouth 68.6% 1.46
Draw / Bournemouth 66.8% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
12.2
7.0
2.5
0.7
0.1
1
11.7
14.3
7.3
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
6.5
7.0
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.2
2.4
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Bournemouth goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.