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Saturday 1 October 2016, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
43% 23% 34%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
34.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 42.5% 2.35
Draw 23.1% 4.33
Middlesbrough 34.4% 2.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.07
Over 1.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.6% 7.93
Over 2.5 68.7% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.3% 3.19
Over 3.5 47.2% 2.12
Under 3.5 52.8% 1.90
Over 4.5 28.2% 3.54
Under 4.5 71.8% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 69.2% 1.44
No 30.8% 3.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 65.6% 1.52
West Ham / Middlesbrough 76.9% 1.30
Draw / Middlesbrough 57.5% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
4.3
4.0
2.3
0.9
0.3
1
4.9
9.6
7.6
4.2
1.8
0.6
2
5.1
8.5
7.1
3.9
1.6
0.5
3
3.2
5.3
4.4
2.5
1.0
0.3
4
1.5
2.5
2.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
5
0.6
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.