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Saturday 21 January 2017, 17:00 Riverside Full time
42% 32% 25%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
25.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 42.2% 2.37
Draw 32.3% 3.09
West Ham 25.4% 3.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.0% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.0% 6.66
Over 1.5 58.8% 1.70
Under 1.5 41.2% 2.43
Over 2.5 31.0% 3.23
Under 2.5 69.0% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.4% 7.47
Under 3.5 86.6% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 20.73
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.6% 2.59
No 61.4% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 74.6% 1.34
Middlesbrough / West Ham 67.7% 1.48
Draw / West Ham 57.8% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.0
10.8
4.7
1.3
0.3
0.0
1
15.4
14.0
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.0
2
9.2
7.5
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
3.5
2.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.