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Saturday 17 December 2016, 17:00 Riverside Full time
50% 28% 22%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
22.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 50.1% 1.99
Draw 27.6% 3.63
Swansea 22.3% 4.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.35
Over 1.5 70.2% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.8% 3.36
Over 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Under 2.5 56.5% 1.77
Over 3.5 22.5% 4.45
Under 3.5 77.5% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.8% 10.21
Under 4.5 90.2% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.3% 2.11
No 52.7% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 77.7% 1.29
Middlesbrough / Swansea 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Swansea 49.9% 2.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
7.4
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
1
12.7
13.0
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.0
9.2
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
5.0
4.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.9
1.7
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.