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Saturday 26 November 2016, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
39% 32% 29%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
28.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 39.4% 2.54
Draw 31.9% 3.14
Middlesbrough 28.8% 3.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.2% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.8% 7.23
Over 1.5 61.2% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.8% 2.58
Over 2.5 33.3% 3.00
Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 3.5 15.0% 6.68
Under 3.5 85.0% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.6% 17.83
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42
No 58.7% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 71.2% 1.40
Leicester / Middlesbrough 68.1% 1.47
Draw / Middlesbrough 60.6% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.8
11.1
5.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
13.8
14.2
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
8.2
7.5
3.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
3.1
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.