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Saturday 22 October 2016, 17:00 King Power Stadium Full time
31% 28% 41%
Home win
31.2%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
41.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 31.2% 3.20
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Crystal Palace 41.0% 2.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 12.07
Over 1.5 73.7% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.3% 3.81
Over 2.5 47.8% 2.09
Under 2.5 52.2% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.1% 3.83
Under 3.5 73.9% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.1% 8.29
Under 4.5 87.9% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.1% 1.88
No 46.9% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 59.0% 1.69
Leicester / Crystal Palace 72.2% 1.39
Draw / Crystal Palace 68.8% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
9.8
7.3
3.4
1.2
0.3
1
8.2
13.3
8.7
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
5.3
7.4
5.2
2.4
0.8
0.2
3
2.1
2.9
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.