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Sunday 2 October 2016, 16:15 King Power Stadium Full time
Leicester
0–0
HT 0–0
Southampton
40% 30% 30%
Home win
39.9%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
30.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 39.9% 2.51 — —
Draw 30.1% 3.32 — —
Southampton 30.0% 3.33 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13 — —
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.83 — —
Over 1.5 66.6% 1.50 — —
Under 1.5 33.4% 2.99 — —
Over 2.5 39.1% 2.56 — —
Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64 — —
Over 3.5 19.1% 5.24 — —
Under 3.5 80.9% 1.24 — —
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.80 — —
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.1% 2.17 — —
No 53.9% 1.86 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 70.0% 1.43 — —
Leicester / Southampton 69.9% 1.43 — —
Draw / Southampton 60.1% 1.66 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
10.0
5.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
12.1
14.0
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
7.9
8.1
4.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
3.2
3.3
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Southampton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Leicester
D W L W L
Southampton
L D L W W

Head to head

May 2025 Leicester 2-0 Southampton Oct 2024 Southampton 2-3 Leicester Mar 2023 Southampton 1-0 Leicester Aug 2022 Leicester 1-2 Southampton May 2022 Leicester 4-1 Southampton Dec 2021 Southampton 2-2 Leicester

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.