Saturday 24 September 2016, 17:00
Stadium of Light
Full time
31%
27%
43%
Home win
30.5%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
42.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.0% | 7.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland / Draw | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Sunderland / Crystal Palace | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
9.1
|
7.3
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
12.8
|
9.0
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
7.4
|
5.5
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
3.0
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Sunderland
2-1
Crystal Palace
Sep 2025
Crystal Palace
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 2017
Crystal Palace
0-4
Sunderland
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.