Sunday 18 September 2016, 16:15
Selhurst Park
Full time
45%
28%
27%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
26.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 11.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.0% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.0% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Stoke City | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
8.0
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
13.3
|
6.6
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
9.0
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
4.3
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2018
Stoke City
1-2
Crystal Palace
Nov 2017
Crystal Palace
2-1
Stoke City
Feb 2017
Stoke City
1-0
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.