Saturday 25 November 2017, 17:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
42%
27%
31%
Home win
42.0%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
30.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Stoke City | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
7.6
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
12.9
|
7.5
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
8.9
|
5.5
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.4
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2018
Stoke City
1-2
Crystal Palace
Feb 2017
Stoke City
1-0
Crystal Palace
Sep 2016
Crystal Palace
4-1
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.