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Monday 20 November 2017, 22:00 American Express Community Stadium Full time
51% 29% 20%
Home win
51.1%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
20.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton 51.1% 1.96
Draw 28.7% 3.49
Stoke City 20.3% 4.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.59
Over 1.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.3% 2.91
Over 2.5 38.2% 2.62
Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.4% 5.44
Under 3.5 81.6% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.48
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.3% 2.36
No 57.7% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton / Draw 79.7% 1.25
Brighton / Stoke City 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Stoke City 48.9% 2.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
7.9
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.8
13.1
4.9
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.0
8.8
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.2
4.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Brighton goals. Columns: Stoke City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.