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Friday 20 October 2017, 22:00 London Stadium Full time
0–3
HT 0–2
42% 30% 29%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
28.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 41.6% 2.41
Draw 29.7% 3.37
Brighton 28.7% 3.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.17
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.1% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.03
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.10
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.7% 2.14
No 53.3% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 71.3% 1.40
West Ham / Brighton 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Brighton 58.4% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
9.5
5.2
1.8
0.4
0.1
1
12.1
13.9
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.2
8.4
4.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
3.5
3.6
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Brighton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.