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Friday 15 September 2017, 22:00 Vitality Stadium Full time
Bournemouth
2–1
HT 0–0
Brighton
42% 28% 30%
Home win
42.3%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
29.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth 42.3% 2.37 — —
Draw 28.1% 3.56 — —
Brighton 29.6% 3.38 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.34 — —
Over 1.5 72.4% 1.38 — —
Under 1.5 27.6% 3.62 — —
Over 2.5 46.1% 2.17 — —
Under 2.5 53.9% 1.85 — —
Over 3.5 24.6% 4.06 — —
Under 3.5 75.4% 1.33 — —
Over 4.5 11.1% 8.99 — —
Under 4.5 88.9% 1.13 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.5% 1.94 — —
No 48.5% 2.06 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth / Draw 70.4% 1.42 — —
Bournemouth / Brighton 71.9% 1.39 — —
Draw / Brighton 57.7% 1.73 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
8.3
5.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
10.5
13.4
7.1
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
7.8
8.8
5.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
3.6
4.1
2.3
0.9
0.2
0.1
4
1.3
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bournemouth goals. Columns: Brighton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Bournemouth
D L L L L
Brighton
L L D W

Head to head

Jan 2026 Brighton 1-1 Bournemouth Sep 2025 Bournemouth 2-1 Brighton Feb 2025 Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth Nov 2024 Bournemouth 1-2 Brighton Apr 2024 Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton Sep 2023 Brighton 3-1 Bournemouth

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.