Saturday 12 August 2017, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
45%
26%
28%
Home win
45.5%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
28.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 6.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| West Brom / Bournemouth | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
6.6
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
12.4
|
7.1
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
9.3
|
5.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
4.9
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2018
Bournemouth
2-1
West Brom
Feb 2017
West Brom
2-1
Bournemouth
Sep 2016
Bournemouth
1-0
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.