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Sunday 21 May 2017, 17:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
38% 28% 34%
Home win
38.4%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
33.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 38.4% 2.60
Draw 28.1% 3.56
West Brom 33.5% 2.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.85
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.75
Over 2.5 47.3% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.7% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.7% 3.90
Under 3.5 74.3% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.49
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 66.5% 1.50
Swansea / West Brom 71.9% 1.39
Draw / West Brom 61.6% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
8.7
5.8
2.4
0.7
0.2
1
9.5
13.4
7.8
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.8
8.4
5.2
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
3.0
3.7
2.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.