Saturday 7 April 2018, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
42%
31%
28%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
27.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Swansea | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.2% | 8.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.0% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| West Brom / Swansea | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.2
|
10.0
|
5.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
14.0
|
6.3
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
8.1
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.