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Saturday 24 February 2018, 17:00 American Express Community Stadium Full time
4–1
HT 1–0
41% 32% 27%
Home win
40.9%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
26.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton 40.9% 2.45
Draw 32.3% 3.10
Swansea 26.9% 3.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.83
Over 1.5 59.6% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.4% 2.47
Over 2.5 31.7% 3.15
Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.9% 7.20
Under 3.5 86.1% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.75
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.6% 2.53
No 60.4% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton / Draw 73.1% 1.37
Brighton / Swansea 67.7% 1.48
Draw / Swansea 59.1% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
11.0
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
14.7
14.1
5.7
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
8.7
7.5
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
3.3
2.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Brighton goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.