Skip to content
Saturday 3 February 2018, 17:00 American Express Community Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
35% 30% 35%
Home win
34.9%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
34.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton 34.9% 2.87
Draw 30.5% 3.28
West Ham 34.6% 2.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.67
Over 1.5 66.1% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.9% 2.95
Over 2.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.7% 5.35
Under 3.5 81.3% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.15
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.0% 2.17
No 54.0% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton / Draw 65.4% 1.53
Brighton / West Ham 69.5% 1.44
Draw / West Ham 65.1% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
11.1
6.7
2.5
0.7
0.2
1
11.2
14.2
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
6.7
7.5
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.5
2.8
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Brighton goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.