Saturday 13 January 2018, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
39%
35%
25%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
35.0%
Away win
25.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.0% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Brighton | 25.5% | 3.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 9.5% | 10.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.0% | 32.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| West Brom / Brighton | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
18.8
|
12.4
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.9
|
13.7
|
4.7
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
6.4
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.