Saturday 30 December 2017, 17:00
St James' Park
Full time
40%
34%
27%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
33.6%
Away win
26.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Brighton | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.5% | 6.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.7% | 8.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.0% | 25.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Brighton | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.5
|
11.8
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.7
|
14.0
|
5.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
6.9
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Newcastle
3-1
Brighton
Oct 2025
Brighton
2-1
Newcastle
May 2025
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Oct 2024
Newcastle
0-1
Brighton
May 2024
Newcastle
1-1
Brighton
Sep 2023
Brighton
3-1
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.