Saturday 23 December 2017, 17:00
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
41%
29%
30%
Home win
41.0%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
29.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Watford | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.4% | 9.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.8% | 11.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Brighton / Watford | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.4
|
9.4
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
13.8
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
8.4
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2022
Watford
0-2
Brighton
Aug 2021
Brighton
2-0
Watford
Feb 2020
Brighton
1-1
Watford
Aug 2019
Watford
0-3
Brighton
Feb 2019
Brighton
0-0
Watford
Aug 2018
Watford
2-0
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.