Tuesday 28 November 2017, 21:45
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
52%
28%
20%
Home win
52.3%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
19.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.4% | 11.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Brighton / Crystal Palace | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
7.4
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.1
|
12.9
|
5.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.0
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Brighton
0-1
Crystal Palace
Nov 2025
Crystal Palace
0-0
Brighton
Apr 2025
Crystal Palace
2-1
Brighton
Dec 2024
Brighton
1-3
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Brighton
4-1
Crystal Palace
Dec 2023
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.