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Saturday 25 November 2017, 17:00 Old Trafford Full time
62% 26% 12%
Home win
62.4%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
11.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 62.4% 1.60
Draw 26.0% 3.84
Brighton 11.6% 8.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.0% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.0% 7.71
Over 1.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.8% 2.88
Under 2.5 65.2% 1.53
Over 3.5 16.0% 6.27
Under 3.5 84.1% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.35
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.9% 3.04
No 67.1% 1.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 88.4% 1.13
Manchester United / Brighton 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Brighton 37.6% 2.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.0
5.9
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
18.7
10.8
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.1
8.0
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
7.9
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Brighton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.