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Saturday 4 November 2017, 17:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
33% 31% 36%
Home win
32.8%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
36.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 32.8% 3.05
Draw 30.9% 3.24
Brighton 36.3% 2.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.1% 8.25
Over 1.5 64.8% 1.54
Under 1.5 35.2% 2.84
Over 2.5 37.2% 2.69
Under 2.5 62.8% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.7% 5.67
Under 3.5 82.3% 1.21
Over 4.5 7.0% 14.24
Under 4.5 93.0% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.8% 2.23
No 55.2% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 63.7% 1.57
Swansea / Brighton 69.1% 1.45
Draw / Brighton 67.2% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.1
11.9
7.2
2.7
0.8
0.2
1
11.1
14.2
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
6.3
7.1
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.2
2.5
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Brighton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.