Sunday 1 October 2017, 14:00
Emirates Stadium
Full time
62%
23%
15%
Home win
62.0%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
14.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Brighton | 14.8% | 6.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 13.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Brighton | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.5
|
11.0
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.7
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
6.0
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Brighton
0-1
Arsenal
Dec 2025
Arsenal
2-1
Brighton
Jan 2025
Brighton
1-1
Arsenal
Aug 2024
Arsenal
1-1
Brighton
Apr 2024
Brighton
0-3
Arsenal
Dec 2023
Arsenal
2-0
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.