Saturday 19 August 2017, 19:30
bet365 Stadium
Full time
24%
25%
50%
Home win
24.2%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
50.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.5% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Arsenal | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
9.6
|
8.7
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
12.1
|
9.6
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
6.3
|
5.3
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.3
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.