Tuesday 16 May 2017, 21:45
Emirates Stadium
Full time
81%
13%
6%
Home win
81.4%
Draw
13.0%
Away win
5.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Sunderland | 5.6% | 17.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.6% | 6.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Sunderland | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Sunderland | 18.6% | 5.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
6.2
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.0
|
8.1
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.9
|
7.4
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.2
|
5.1
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.5
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.