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Tuesday 16 May 2017, 21:45 Emirates Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
81% 13% 6%
Home win
81.4%
Draw
13.0%
Away win
5.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 81.4% 1.23
Draw 13.0% 7.68
Sunderland 5.6% 17.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.48
Over 1.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.6% 6.84
Over 2.5 65.5% 1.53
Under 2.5 34.5% 2.90
Over 3.5 43.6% 2.29
Under 3.5 56.4% 1.77
Over 4.5 25.1% 3.98
Under 4.5 74.9% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.7% 2.29
No 56.3% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 94.4% 1.06
Arsenal / Sunderland 87.0% 1.15
Draw / Sunderland 18.6% 5.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
1.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
9.1
6.2
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
13.0
8.1
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.9
7.4
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
8.2
5.1
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
4.5
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: Sunderland goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.