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Saturday 29 April 2017, 17:00 Stadium of Light Full time
31% 26% 43%
Home win
30.7%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
43.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 30.7% 3.26
Draw 26.2% 3.82
Bournemouth 43.1% 2.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.34
Over 1.5 78.3% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.7% 4.62
Over 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Under 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.8% 3.15
Under 3.5 68.2% 1.47
Over 4.5 15.9% 6.28
Under 4.5 84.1% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.8% 1.73
No 42.2% 2.37

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 56.9% 1.76
Sunderland / Bournemouth 73.8% 1.35
Draw / Bournemouth 69.3% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
8.4
7.1
3.7
1.4
0.4
1
6.8
12.4
9.1
4.7
1.8
0.6
2
4.8
7.5
5.8
3.0
1.2
0.4
3
2.1
3.2
2.5
1.3
0.5
0.2
4
0.7
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: Bournemouth goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.