Saturday 8 April 2017, 19:30
Vitality Stadium
Full time
19%
23%
59%
Home win
18.7%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
58.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.1% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.7% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Chelsea | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
9.1
|
9.6
|
6.3
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
10.7
|
9.9
|
6.6
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.2
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.8
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2025
Chelsea
2-2
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
0-0
Chelsea
Jan 2025
Chelsea
2-2
Bournemouth
Sep 2024
Bournemouth
0-1
Chelsea
May 2024
Chelsea
2-1
Bournemouth
Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0-0
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.