Saturday 1 April 2017, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
80%
14%
6%
Home win
79.6%
Draw
14.1%
Away win
6.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 6.3% | 15.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.3% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Crystal Palace | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
6.7
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.2
|
8.4
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.6
|
7.4
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.6
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Aug 2025
Chelsea
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2025
Crystal Palace
1-1
Chelsea
Sep 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Dec 2023
Chelsea
2-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.