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Monday 6 March 2017, 22:00 London Stadium Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
17% 23% 61%
Home win
16.6%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
60.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 16.6% 6.03
Draw 22.5% 4.44
Chelsea 60.9% 1.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.31
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.78
Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.7% 2.24
Over 3.5 32.9% 3.04
Under 3.5 67.1% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.8% 5.97
Under 4.5 83.2% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.7% 1.90
No 47.3% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 39.1% 2.56
West Ham / Chelsea 77.5% 1.29
Draw / Chelsea 83.4% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
10.3
10.7
7.0
3.4
1.3
1
4.5
10.7
9.9
6.5
3.2
1.3
2
2.4
4.7
4.6
3.0
1.5
0.6
3
0.7
1.5
1.4
0.9
0.5
0.2
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Chelsea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.