Saturday 18 March 2017, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
18%
26%
56%
Home win
17.9%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
56.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.2% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.2% | 9.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Chelsea | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
13.4
|
11.5
|
6.3
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
12.2
|
9.4
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
2.9
|
4.7
|
3.8
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.