Saturday 30 December 2017, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
80%
14%
6%
Home win
80.2%
Draw
13.8%
Away win
6.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.8% | 7.27 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 6.0% | 16.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.5% | 6.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Stoke City | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
6.6
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.2
|
8.3
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.7
|
7.4
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.8
|
4.9
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.2
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.