Tuesday 12 December 2017, 21:45
Turf Moor
Full time
49%
29%
22%
Home win
49.0%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
22.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.3% | 8.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.8% | 12.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Burnley / Stoke City | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.3
|
8.2
|
3.8
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
13.3
|
5.3
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.3
|
8.8
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.