Saturday 9 December 2017, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
47%
28%
25%
Home win
46.8%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
25.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Watford | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.7% | 10.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Burnley / Watford | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
8.0
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
13.3
|
6.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
4.3
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Feb 2022
Burnley
0-0
Watford
Jun 2020
Burnley
1-0
Watford
Nov 2019
Watford
0-3
Burnley
Jan 2019
Watford
0-0
Burnley
Aug 2018
Burnley
1-3
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.