Saturday 25 November 2017, 17:00
St James' Park
Full time
46%
28%
26%
Home win
46.4%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
25.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Watford | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 10.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.6% | 9.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Watford | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
7.8
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
13.2
|
6.4
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.1
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
4.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Newcastle
1-1
Watford
Sep 2021
Watford
1-1
Newcastle
Jul 2020
Watford
2-1
Newcastle
Aug 2019
Newcastle
1-1
Watford
Dec 2018
Watford
1-1
Newcastle
Nov 2018
Newcastle
1-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.