Saturday 21 October 2017, 14:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
81%
13%
6%
Home win
80.6%
Draw
13.0%
Away win
6.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.0% | 7.66 | — | — |
| Watford | 6.4% | 15.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 31.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.5% | 8.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Watford | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 19.4% | 5.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
6.1
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
8.2
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
7.8
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.7
|
5.6
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.4
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Chelsea
2-1
Watford
Dec 2021
Watford
1-2
Chelsea
Jul 2020
Chelsea
3-0
Watford
Nov 2019
Watford
1-2
Chelsea
May 2019
Chelsea
3-0
Watford
Dec 2018
Watford
1-2
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.